credit issued in early January as fast, leading to severe contraction in late January. loanable funds of over-tightening is expected to cause panic, industrial capital began to cost of capital down. soaring cost of capital last week, the inter-bank lending rate over the tension level of the end of December last year, only slightly inferior to the high point of the end of 2007; 6-month bills up to 8% interest rate directly attached, the highest end of 2007 was 8.7% In addition, the New Deal real estate property market is expected to promote private capital from the stock configuration, the industry will fund holdings recent dramatic decline of stock market liquidity is also more favorable.
historical inertia Rabbit is expected to a good start
point once with the 2700 fall in the market is facing a severe test on the occasion, was staged five years ago, the perfect ending of the play even the sun, although there Liangnengbuzu regret, but taking into account the Chinese New Year holiday , the lack of 5 trading days this month, so will accelerate the completion of directional selection process. Tiger close close more interesting, the main stock index closed half-line and on line in the middle, the middle of these two lines is the 2800 point mark.
bad money,[url=http://www.beatsbydresale.org/]Dr Dre Headphones[/url], A shares are expected to usher in the Festival sufficient ammunition. the last week before the Spring Festival holiday, a total of 12 officially announced the establishment of new funds, including seven equity funds, two index funds, as well as hybrid, money-and bond funds of a total size of nearly 20 billion yuan to raise this point, since November last year, the total size of the new fund set up close to 200 billion element to generally three months Jiancang projections, the recent stock market new fund will provide blood transfusion is about one hundred billion yuan.
shoes landing bad cash
In fact, the first rate hike Rabbit should be as expected, because in January, the snow and the north of the South continued drought means that agricultural Indeed, a strong rise in expectations, which means that the CPI will remain high this year, if we take into account in January 2010 to the low base and other factors, does not rule out the January CPI data will be more than 5% of the possibility of negative interest rates trend will further strongly in this context, funds from various quarters is expected before the Spring Festival Spring Festival, with the January CPI data and other economic data released in January, interest rates have been inevitable.
Moreover, A-share market, there are still two distinct inertia, one holiday trends inertia. historical experience shows, if you do not happen during the holiday larger event,[url=http://www.beatsbydresale.org/]Dr Dre Headphones[/url], then the trend will continue after the holiday before the holiday trend. just like last year's A-share market after the National Day National Day continues the steady rise of the pre-shock trend appears to accelerate as rising trend, while during the Spring Festival, A stock market environment facing the place remained calm, even there are some relatively positive news, such as U.S. stocks advanced another two years new, this will undoubtedly help in the Year of the Rabbit A-share market, the first trading day, even if there are additional interest rate factors, but the anticipated bad digestion, more conducive to the market to do more.
uncertainties can not be ignored
analysts point out that a continuous rise in global stock markets, as the Festival of the A-share market to do much heighten the atmosphere. < / p>
Festival market liquidity will improve
worth mentioning is that many fund investment strategy report in the New Year it clear that the Chinese New Year After the stock market will be more secure. It is understood that usually fund Jiancang about 3-6 months, If the market an average of 3 months Jiancang calculation, since in November 2010 established a new fund will come into Jiancang about disaggregated statistical data in the past three months, the size of the establishment of equity funds reached 62.4 billion yuan, about the size of hybrid funds $ 16.5 billion, two times heavier stock position size of the new total of 78.9 billion yuan fund, if coupled with other types of funds and a new fund set up by the end, these are the size of the fund Jiancang over hundreds of billions.
to do more than express the external market environment
the most power in the market comes to Tokyo stock market, February 8, a nine-month high of Tokyo stock market, the Nikkei index closed up 43.94 points, to 10,635.98 points, or 0.4%; the index intraday high at 10,648.80 points, 6 May 2010 the highest level since Statistics show that the Nikkei 225 index from February 2 until February 8 strong, and 5 day has risen 361 points, or 3.51%, as the largest stock market gains.
Today is the first trading day after the Spring Festival,[url=http://www.beatsbydresale.org/]Dr Dre Headphones[/url], the first month with a festive atmosphere, it embarked on a new journey to the stock market, and look forward to the Year of the Rabbit's grand opening. It is noteworthy that, Tiger Yang A shares five with carryover, European and American stock market rose during the holiday, and strengthen the market expectations of a good start for Rabbit prices, however, the central bank announced late yesterday, from February 9, 2011 from the raised benchmark deposit and lending rates by 0.25 percentage points. the face of Canada interest-rate test how Rabbit's open market evolve?
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on this hike, it was called the Year of the Rabbit market carrots. subtext is Festival rationalize monetary policy, namely, price-based and balanced use of quantitative tools, which will help the rational allocation of industrial capital asset, since the industry to change the end of last year continued outflow of capital stock of the situation, analysts generally agreed that monetary policy relaxation probability is very small, However, the rationalization of control means the probability is large enough to support a rebound.
Tiger market because there is a clear tail phenomenon to market Participants felt the long efforts to do more, while the Shanghai Composite Index in the last five trading days of the Tiger five-K line with positive trends have reinforced the funds from various market good start for Rabbit's expectations, but the Bank of Canada yesterday evening interest rates seems a test of this information is expected.
historical experience shows that during the holiday does not occur if a large event, So, the trend will continue after the holiday before the holiday of a trend, according to statistics, over the past 20 years, the number rose in February to 15 times, the number fell only 5 times that price in February rose 75% probability, down probability of only 25%. statistics also show that comparison with other months, February is a relatively good investment of time, which may be related to the calendar year in February, both are relatively loose capital factors, and institutional funds may also be inertia associated with a certain spring. the other hand, in February this year, the expected capital appears to have improved, because the central bank in the recently released expected growth of 16% right, which corresponds to about 7 trillion of new credit scale between -7.5 one trillion yuan, which will exceed the market had expected, which will promote the passion of spring institutional funds, thus promoting the A-share market Year of the Rabbit, opening the first trading day of the trend.
the Hong Kong stock market is slightly less, with the sharp rise in February 2, 1.81% of the short-lived, they will Year of the Rabbit first trading day highs, the trend in decline. Statistics show that in the A-share market closed for Chinese New Year holiday period, the Hong Kong stock is only trading on February 2, February 7 and February 8 three trading days, rose 1.35 points accumulated during,[url=http://www.beatsbydresale.org/]Dr Dre Headphones[/url], or 0.01%. the analyst pointed out that although the external market generally take a good, but because of economic data next week will announce the Mainland, the market generally expected January CPI will be another new high of 5.3%, lead to interest rate worries weekend, short-term material HSI will continue to fall in the 23,300-23,800 points.
in 2011 to celebrate China's Spring Festival holiday among the continuous rise in global stock markets, peaked again.
In addition, some analysts believe that, faced with more uncertainty in the Festival factors: 1, the uncertainty of economic and policy will do more than curb market enthusiasm. Festival will be announced in January economic data, weak in the context of the market, the market will be negative may be understood: If the data is high, you can understood as a follow-up tightening efforts will be intensified; if the data is low, can be understood as decline in preference may lead to return of funds from emerging markets, capital withdrawal from the developed stock markets and bond markets into gold the U.S. economy over the last quarter is also expected to enhance the attractiveness of international capital and therefore, the uncertainty of international factors will market remains cautious. (the text carried over the network)
have Analysts said the rate hike but played a relatively positive message two: First, the shoes landed advantage of this opportunity is profitable. After all, the operation of A-share market trend over the years shows that the more anticipated bad, not bad more So, with the interest rate information became clear, but there is a long Removing the burden of thinking,[url=http://www.beatsbydresale.org/]Dr Dre Headphones[/url], active distribution of information increasingly strong spring up; the second is the emergence of interest rates, means that the policy in February or in a vacuum , the layout is more conducive to long, so the market or interest rate information will be relatively optimistic comments, and thus strengthen the Rabbit's grand opening A-share market is expected.
which stocks performed very well, climbing to a new high for many years the Dow Jones industrial average has achieve Six-yang, is the longest three months of a continuous rise as of February 7, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index closed up 69.48 points, to July 16, 2008 since the level of 12,161.63 points, its highest close , or 0.57% and the Nasdaq composite index rose 14.69 points, to November 6, 2007 the highest closing level since 2,783.99 points, or 0.53% S & P 500 index rose 8.18 points, to June 25, 2008 has been the highest closing level 1,319.05 points, or 0.62%, boosted by financial stocks in the A-share market closed for Chinese New Year holiday period, the Dow Jones industrial average from February 2 until February 7, a continuous rise in 4 days gained 121.47 points, or 1.01%.
though, even Tiger A shares five Yang's tail, European and American stock market rose during the holiday, and strengthen the market price of the Rabbit opener expectations, but some analysts have pointed out that although more optimistic about the market for the first half, but years ago for 5 days after the stock rebound is near 2800 point mark, now do not have the upside of a continuous basis and market conditions, market for last October, leaving a gap of 2650 points covering only a part, has not completely closed, the gap is the rally of support The technical factors, but only by technical factors supporting the trend is strong and will again. 2800 Shanghai index near resistance from several aspects: in line at 2803 points, 2805 points half-line, 60-day moving average point in 2841, are concentrated in the technical bit pressure near 2800 After a few days of rebound gradually into the short-term technical indicators overbought.
pattern from now on the point of view, the market could reach 60 days of this wave is the best near the line to 60 line will be able to step back after a rebound in the establishment of an intermediate, intermediate, at least let the market see a rebound to 3,000 points on Tuesday last for less than one points to close at 2800 points below the long and short in fact be the answer to stay in the Festival.
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